Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.664902 0.856902 1.073506 1.332983 1.632412 1.964284 2.357071
2025-05-04 0.387260 0.618660 0.915521 1.310456 1.808532 2.403109 3.153586
2025-05-11 0.217288 0.444304 0.778421 1.270010 1.940479 2.791231 3.920092
2025-05-18 0.127813 0.341396 0.701907 1.282578 2.127901 3.253242 4.803627
2025-05-25 0.066547 0.248995 0.609279 1.246339 2.233694 3.607027 5.562732
2025-06-01 0.041118 0.210623 0.592427 1.317188 2.491952 4.175902 6.627465
2025-06-08 0.020840 0.164321 0.543600 1.322510 2.645918 4.601825 7.512332
2025-06-15 0.012848 0.147287 0.548587 1.419248 2.945682 5.246723 8.718718
2025-06-22 0.006651 0.125819 0.535252 1.477635 3.184329 5.809097 9.824752
2025-06-29 0.002662 0.102950 0.508809 1.504335 3.368797 6.294704 10.833103
2025-07-06 0.000511 0.076378 0.458622 1.472350 3.447055 6.618294 11.613909
2025-07-13 0.000051 0.061347 0.435353 1.491824 3.613315 7.080110 12.604457
2025-07-20 NaN 0.048163 0.411576 1.508339 3.779292 7.554658 13.638517
2025-07-27 NaN 0.032689 0.365520 1.463201 3.827108 7.842456 14.403146
2025-08-03 NaN 0.020732 0.320433 1.409257 3.851320 8.090268 15.111927
2025-08-10 NaN 0.014916 0.300889 1.417432 3.995078 8.537259 16.132324
2025-08-17 NaN 0.008829 0.266584 1.375936 4.034605 8.809828 16.889156
2025-08-24 NaN 0.007582 0.271450 1.450276 4.314861 9.495822 18.298971
2025-08-31 NaN 0.004950 0.254822 1.455225 4.449932 9.937242 19.334936
2025-09-07 NaN 0.004716 0.268274 1.558034 4.796795 10.750371 20.966381
2025-09-14 NaN 0.003785 0.269245 1.620037 5.058724 11.422037 22.384959
2025-09-21 NaN 0.002584 0.260616 1.648358 5.248818 11.972794 23.620724
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001195 0.235587 1.614245 5.299367 12.279635 24.473615